The reason I posted this is because this is one more way CDC ensures the collection of inadequate data. It can then use the fact of inadequate data collection to justify the modeling of deaths, hospitalizations, etc. The models can then be fixed to provide the desired results.
Estimates of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths Among Nursing Home Residents Not Reported in Federal Data
Karen Shen, PhD1; Lacey Loomer, PhD, MSPH2; Hannah Abrams, MD3; et alDavid C. Grabowski, PhD4; Ashvin Gandhi, PhD5JAMA Netw Open. 2021;4(9):e2122885. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.22885Key PointsQuestion How many COVID-19 cases and deaths at nursing homes were missed in the federal National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN) reporting system owing to the delayed start in required reporting?
Findings In this cross-sectional study of 15 307 US nursing homes, approximately 44% of COVID-19 cases and 40% of COVID-19 deaths that occurred before the start of reporting were not reported in the first NHSN submission in sample states, suggesting there were more than 68 000 unreported cases and 16 000 unreported deaths nationally.
Meaning These findings suggest that federal NHSN data understate total COVID-19 cases and deaths in nursing homes and that using these data without accounting for this issue may result in misleading conclusions about the determinants of nursing home outbreaks.
AbstractImportance Federal data underestimate the impact of COVID-19 on US nursing homes because federal reporting guidelines did not require facilities to report case and death data until the week ending May 24, 2020.
Objective To assess the magnitude of unreported cases and deaths in the National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN) and provide national estimates of cases and deaths adjusted for nonreporting.
Design, Setting, and Participants This is a cross-sectional study comparing COVID-19 cases and deaths reported by US nursing homes to the NHSN with those reported to state departments of health in late May 2020. The sample includes nursing homes from 20 states, with 4598 facilities in 12 states that required facilities to report cases and 7401 facilities in 19 states that required facilities to report deaths. Estimates of nonreporting were extrapolated to infer the national (15 397 facilities) unreported cases and deaths in both May and December 2020. Data were analyzed from December 2020 to May 2021.
Exposures Nursing home ownership (for-profit or not-for-profit), chain affiliation, size, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services star rating, and state.
Main Outcomes and Measures The main outcome was the difference between the COVID-19 cases and deaths reported by each facility to their state department of health vs those reported to the NHSN.
Results Among 15 415 US nursing homes, including 4599 with state case data and 7405 with state death data, a mean (SE) of 43.7% (1.4%) of COVID-19 cases and 40.0% (1.1%) of COVID-19 deaths prior to May 24 were not reported in the first NHSN submission in sample states, suggesting that 68 613 cases and 16 623 deaths were omitted nationwide, representing 11.6% of COVID-19 cases and 14.0% of COVID-19 deaths among nursing home residents in 2020.
Conclusions and Relevance These findings suggest that federal NHSN data understated total cases and deaths in nursing homes. Failure to account for this issue may lead to misleading conclusions about the role of different facility characteristics and state or federal policies in explaining COVID outbreaks.
I notice that this paper was published by JAMA - an organization that is decidedly FOR the official narrative, prohibitions, and mnadates. This study adds weight to the notion that COVID is a deadly disease, so we should all follow the government's policies to the letter.
ReplyDeleteAnother thing: the author affiliations for this paper...
1 Department of Economics, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts
2 Department of Economics and Health Care Management, Labovitz School of Business and Economics, University of Minnesota, Duluth
3 Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston
4 Department of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
5 Anderson School of Management, University of California, Los Angeles