I am remiss for not posting on the organization PANDA previously. They have wonderful, data-driven information to share. Perhaps best of all is this new 27 minute video, made by PANDA cofounder Nick Hudson. Please try to make time to watch it. You won't regret it. And it will probably disappear soon, since it does not respect the WHO guidance.
Excellent presentation. Thanks for sharing the link. Warning to those who haven't seen it yet: the ads are OBNOXIOUS!! They arrive without warning and they spoil the whole experience.
ReplyDeleteIs there anywhere one can watch this video ad-free? I'd like to share it with others, but I won't as long as it's on youtube.
Thanks.
Nick Hudson doth protest too much.
ReplyDeleteI decided to check only one citation within his March 2021 presentation. On his screen, as he paces back and forth, Hudson has a quote from a JAMA article of December 14, 2020, "Household Transmission of SARS-CoV-2" (accepted November 6, 2020, and reflective of earlier data) that concludes the following:
"Household secondary attack rates were increased from symptomatic index cases (18.0%) than from asymptomatic index cases (0.7%)"
Thus, asymptomatic transmission of Covid-19 is, for Hudson, nonsense.
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However, Nelson does not tell us of another JAMA article just a few weeks later, i.e., on January 7, 2021 (accepted December 7, 2020, and reflective of earlier data). This more recent article "SARS-CoV-2 Transmission From People Without COVID-19 Symptoms" has a conclusion that reads:
"In this decision analytical model assessing multiple scenarios for the infectious period and the proportion of transmission from individuals who never have COVID-19 symptoms, transmission from asymptomatic individuals was estimated to account for more than half of all transmission."
In other words, asymptomatic transmission is actually very important.
Hudson seems to be engaging in a common mistake, i.e., Confirmation Bias: Cite what would confirm your point of view while ignoring contrary evidence.