Johns Hopkins is keeping track of COVID-19 cases internationally, in real time, here.
There have been 51,171 recovered cases and 3,254 deceased, for a 6% mortality rate. This number should drop, I hope considerably, as we begin to identify more asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic cases.
Update 3/16/20: Chinese mortality estimate is around 5.8%.
One hopeful piece of information is that spread has been mostly within families...suggesting infection requires a large inoculum size (a large number of viral particles) and may therefore be considerably less contagious for those with only casual contact with cases. We hope.
Update 3/5/20: Spread might be high within families because they have genetic markers in common that either promote infection or lead to more severe infection.
Thank you Meryl Ness MD for your information and extra hard working physician efforts in these days.
ReplyDeleteCheers.